The southwest monsoon began withdrawing from West Uttar Pradesh on Wednesday, four days earlier than usual, but rainfall activity is expected to intensify over eastern and central parts of the state from Thursday as a deep depression develops over the Bay of Bengal. Heavy to very heavy rain is forecast at isolated places in East UP on September 25 and 26, while maximum temperatures are expected to fall by 6 to 9°C across the state.
Because conditions are not favourable for its immediate withdrawal in the next few days, “There is no further withdrawal from UP during the next one week. In fact, rainfall activity is expected to increase mainly over East and Central parts of UP due to the ensuing deep depression in the Bay of Bengal from Thursday,” said Atul Kumar Singh, senior scientist at the Regional Meteorological Centre in Lucknow. The withdrawal line now passes through Gurdaspur, Chandigarh, Muzaffarnagar, Aligarh, Dholpur, Udaipur, Deesa and Naliya.
The IMD said the southwest monsoon had further withdrawn from most parts of Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan, the entire Delhi region and some parts of Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat on Wednesday.
However, the early withdrawal is not expected to continue across the state in the coming days as weather conditions remain favourable for rainfall. The monsoon’s withdrawal from West UP normally begins from Bijnor on September 27, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
Widespread rainfall is expected across the state from September 24 to 27, accompanied by strong gusty surface winds. Kanpur city recorded 21.4 mm of rainfall in the 24 hours ending Wednesday morning. UP rainfall deficit at 6%
A cyclonic circulation is also situated over northwestern UP.
“Heavy rainfall is likely, with very heavy rainfall occurring at isolated places in East Uttar Pradesh on September 25–26 (orange alert),” Singh said. The withdrawal of the monsoon from West UP coincided with rainfall in Lucknow and adjoining districts on Wednesday.
